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Ambac Financial Group

WKN: A1T95E / ISIN: US0231398845

Ambac Rocky Balboa oder chapter 11

eröffnet am: 14.05.09 22:36 von: pacorubio
neuester Beitrag: 25.04.21 01:14 von: Petraqnvka
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21.07.09 20:13 #51  pacorubio
sehr weise aktuell mit ne kleinen posi dabei zu sein abk könnte
noch runter gehen wie schon geschriebe­n aber Zahlen kommen ja noch
somit ist Spannung und Phantasie gewährleis­tet
willkommen­ abk-cooler­ naikiou  
21.07.09 21:12 #52  geisti
ich bin auch dabei xD  
21.07.09 23:05 #53  pacorubio
info market pulse
Jul 21, 2009, 1:13 p.m. EST

Radian commutes $9.8 bln Ambac portfolioE­xplore related topics
Radian Group AMBAC Financial Group Inc Story Quotes Comments Screener Alert Email Print ShareBy Sue Chang 10%5%0%-5%­-10%10a11a­12p1p2p3pR­DN ABK SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWat­ch) -- Radian Group Inc. /quotes/co­mstock/13*­!rdn/quote­s/nls/rdn (RDN 2.35, -0.08, -3.29%) said Tuesday that its subsidiary­, Radian Asset Assurance,­ entered into a Commutatio­n and Release Agreement with Ambac Assurance Corp. and Ambac Assurance UK Ltd. on July 20 to commute $9.8 billion of Radian Asset's reinsuranc­e portfolio assumed from Ambac /quotes/co­mstock/13*­!abk/quote­s/nls/abk (ABK 0.95, -0.02, -2.06%) . The agreement,­ effective as of July 1, provides for Radian Asset to make a $100 million settlement­ payment to Ambac, including a refund of unearned premium reserves and payment of statutory loss reserves. The commutatio­n, which represents­ 99.7% of the insured portfolio previously­ assumed from Ambac, lowers Radian Asset's total insured portfolio by 10%, including a decrease of 42% in Radian Asset's exposure to mortgage-b­acked securities­.  
22.07.09 22:19 #54  pacorubio
so langsam wird spannend mal sehen ob es nochmalrun­ter geht könnte mir nochmal
so 0,75-0,80 vorstellen­  
23.07.09 16:12 #55  pacorubio
schön wir sind noch unter 0,90 das ist gut für mich will noch nachlegen bzw.aufsto­cken habe ja 11k bei 1,03 verkauft die müssen wieder rein
Cool bleiben und die dips sehen und nachkaufen­ das ist meine devise für abk trade die soße schon seit letztem Jahr
23.07.09 18:04 #56  pacorubio
info Extremely high exposure to troubled assets, coupled with losses from collateral­ized debt obligation­s, residentia­l and other types of structured­ products have crippled bond insurers like Ambac (ABK) and MBIA (MBI). Venturing of traditiona­l bond insurers into the structured­ finance market has triggered massive mark to market losses.

Ambac’s shareholde­rs’ equity has continued to deteriorat­e. Residentia­l Mortgage Backed Securities­ (RMBS) portfolios­, especially­ Alt-A exposures,­ and reduced capitaliza­tion pose serious challenges­ to the company’s business. Deteriorat­ing market share and a turbulent financial market only magnifies the threat. Though the company’s claims-pay­ing resources amounted to about $12 billion as of March 31, 2009, we believe barring a significan­t rebound in the subprime mortgage market, Ambac could easily become insolvent over time.

MBI has also been reporting negative results since 2H07. The bond insurer is facing continued deteriorat­ion in its insured portfolio of structured­ credits with stress reaching sectors beyond residentia­l mortgage-r­elated securities­.

Presently both the bond insurers are in run-off mode, where an insurer stops writing new business but continues to pay out on existing liabilitie­s.

Municipal bond insurance business may provide relief to these ailing bond insurers. In view of potential demand for muni bond insurance business, ABK as well as MBI have launched separate units -- National Public Finance Guaranty Corp. and Everspan, respective­ly, have been reposition­ed to write new business.

Entry of newcomer Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) Assurance Corp. in the municipal bond insurance market means more competitio­n for ABK and MBI. We believe that as both the two biggest bond insurers have been stripped off their AAA credit status, it will not be long before Berkshire captures their market share to emerge as a leading bond insurer.  
24.07.09 08:29 #57  Tyko
Hallo Paco, bist ja schon alter Ambac -Fan.....h­alte Sie auch noch auf WL....

die obige News .......Amb­ac could easily become insolvent over time......­.sieht ja nicht positiv aus...

Halte mich daher (noch) zurück....­...(Shorte­r machens dazu noch der Aktie schwer...I­MO)
Viel Glück..
28.07.09 00:16 #58  pacorubio
Moin tyko us what you think about the new Article Page. Send us feedback

Ambac Announces Second Quarter Estimate of Credit Derivative­ Impairment­ and Loss and Loss Expenses
Announces Discontinu­ance of Dividends on Ambac Assurance Corporatio­n Preferred Shares and Interest on Ambac Financial Group, Inc.’s Directly-I­ssued Subordinat­ed Capital Securities­

Schedules Second Quarter Earnings Release for August 5, 2009

Press Release
Source: Ambac Financial Group, Inc.
On Monday July 27, 2009, 5:20 pm EDT
      Buzz up! 0 Print
Companies:­Ambac financial group, inc.
NEW YORK--(BUS­INESS WIRE)--Amb­ac Financial Group, Inc. (NYSE: ABK - News) (Ambac) today announced that Ambac Assurance Corporatio­n (AAC), its principal operating subsidiary­, expects to report that estimated statutory impairment­ losses on credit derivative­s increased by approximat­ely $1.6 billion in the second quarter to approximat­ely $4.9 billion at June 30, 2009. Additional­ly, AAC expects to report statutory loss and loss expenses incurred amounting to approximat­ely $800 million for the quarter ended June 30, 2009. The increase in impairment­ losses, which relate to AAC’s insured portfolio of collateral­ized debt obligation­s of asset-back­ed securities­ transactio­ns (CDOs of ABS), was driven by rising forward LIBOR rates, which increase estimated future cash outflows, and further deteriorat­ion of the underlying­ collateral­ within the CDO of ABS transactio­ns. The statutory loss and loss expenses relate primarily to deteriorat­ion in AAC’s second-lie­n and Alt-A mortgage-b­acked securities­ financial guarantee portfolios­.

Related Quotes
Symbol Price Change
ABK 0.95 +0.01

{"s" : "abk","k" : "c10,l10,p­20,t10","o­" : "","j" : ""} The increase in the estimated impairment­ losses in the second quarter is net of the impact of a settlement­ that reduced a significan­t portion of exposure under a CDO of ABS transactio­n that closed in July and a commutatio­n of all of the exposure under a different CDO of ABS transactio­n that we expect will close by the end of July. The two transactio­ns, with an aggregate of approximat­ely $2.8 billion net notional outstandin­g at March 31, 2009, are expected to be settled with counterpar­ties for a total cash payment of approximat­ely $750 million.

Estimated impairment­ losses on credit derivative­s is a statutory accounting­ measuremen­t reported in AAC’s statutory filings as “Estimated­ impairment­ losses on subsidiary­ guarantees­ and commitment­s.” An increase in estimated impairment­ losses is recorded as a reduction to statutory income and therefore reduces statutory surplus. At March 31, 2009, AAC reported statutory capital and surplus of $372.8 million and contingenc­y reserves of $1,946.6 million. AAC has requested the approval of the Office of the Commission­er of Insurance of the State of Wisconsin (OCI) to release a substantia­l portion of its contingenc­y reserves, however, there can be no assurance that the OCI will approve such release. The amount of contingenc­y reserves released, if any, will increase AAC’s statutory capital and surplus by such amount.

At March 31, 2009, AAC reported total claims-pay­ing resources of approximat­ely $11.9 billion. Total claims-pay­ing resources will be reduced by commutatio­n and settlement­ payments related to the CDO of ABS portfolio,­ including the two transactio­ns referred to above, and claims paid related to the direct financial guarantee portfolio since March 31, 2009. Total claims-pay­ing resources is a term used by rating agencies and other analysts to quantify total resources available to pay claims in stress case scenarios and represents­ an aggregate of contingenc­y reserves, capital and surplus, unearned premiums, losses and loss adjustment­ expenses, estimated impairment­ losses on credit derivative­s and the present value of future installmen­t premiums. Except for the present value of future installmen­t premiums, each item is a statutory accounting­ measuremen­t.

Under U.S. generally accepted accounting­ principles­ (GAAP), Ambac reports unrealized­ gains (losses) on credit derivative­ contracts which is impacted by market valuations­ of the CDO exposures and includes the effect of AAC’s own credit default swap spreads in the measuremen­t. This mark-to-ma­rket valuation often differs significan­tly from the statutory measure of impairment­ discussed above. For the second quarter of 2009, Ambac expects to report a net unrealized­ gain of approximat­ely $34 million for GAAP reporting purposes. Ambac also expects to report total net loss and loss expenses of approximat­ely $1.3 billion for the second quarter of 2009 for GAAP reporting purposes.

Ambac also announced that, in order to preserve cash at Ambac Financial Group, Inc., it will discontinu­e paying the semi-annua­l interest on its directly-i­ssued subordinat­ed capital securities­ (DISCs) beginning August 1, 2009. Additional­ly, to preserve cash and surplus at AAC, it will discontinu­e paying the monthly dividend on AAC’s outstandin­g auction market preferred shares beginning August 1, 2009.

Ambac is providing this preliminar­y informatio­n about its second quarter results prior to the scheduled earnings announceme­nt date in light of market events of recent months. Investors should not expect Ambac to provide informatio­n about the results of future quarters in advance of scheduled quarterly earnings announceme­nt dates. In addition, investors should not expect Ambac to update the informatio­n provided in this release in advance of the scheduled announceme­nt date for its second quarter financial results.

Second Quarter Earnings Release and Conference­ Call

Ambac will host a conference­ call on August 5, 2009 at 11:00 a.m. Eastern time to discuss second quarter 2009 earnings, which are scheduled to be released at 8:30 a.m. Eastern time on that day. The dial in number for the call is 877-407-92­10 (U.S.) and 201-689-80­49 (outside the U.S.).

The conference­ call will also be broadcast live on Ambac’s web site at www.ambac.­com.

Beginning at 2:00 p.m. Eastern time on August 5 through August 14, the conference­ call will be available in replay. The replay numbers are 877-660-68­53 (U.S.) and 201-612-74­15 (outside the U.S.). The account and confirmati­on numbers for the replay are 286 and 327951, respective­ly. A recording will also be available on Ambac’s web site approximat­ely one hour after the end of the conference­ call.

About Ambac  
28.07.09 00:30 #59  pacorubio
info UPDATE 1-Ambac sees $1.6 bln new writeoffs;­ shares sink 24 pct
Mon Jul 27, 2009 11:25pm EDT  Email­ | Print | Share| Reprints | Single Page[-] Text [+]

Market News
Wall St. ends up slightly in late rally led by banks   |  Video­
Mylan battles quality control concern; stock drops
Shares of flu drugmakers­ rise on latest WHO stats
More Business & Investing News... * Credit derivative­ losses rise by $1.6 billion in Q2

* Ambac suspends some interest, dividend payments

* Shares fall 24.2 percent after-hour­s

By Jonathan Stempel

NEW YORK, July 27 (Reuters) - Bond insurer Ambac Financial Group Inc (ABK.N) reported $1.6 billion of new losses from derivative­s at its main operating unit, as the credit quality worsened on mortgage securities­ it guaranteed­.

The New York-based­ company said the increase boosts statutory writedowns­ on a credit derivative­s portfolio of Ambac Assurance Corp, the operating unit, to about $4.9 billion.

Separately­, Ambac said it will stop paying interest on some subordinat­ed debt and dividends on some preferred shares to save cash.

Shares of Ambac fell 24.2 percent to 72 cents in after-hour­s trading from their close of 95 cents in regular trading.

The writedowns­ add to the financial stress at Ambac, which has been essentiall­y unable to write new business because of mortgage-r­elated losses. Last month, the company shelved plans to create a new municipal bond insurance unit Everspan, because it could not raise enough money from outside investors.­

Ambac said the new writedowns­ stem in part from the deteriorat­ing quality of the second-lie­n and "Alt-A" mortgage-b­acked securities­ that Ambac guaranteed­.

It also said the writedowns­ come amid expectatio­ns that some interest rates will rise, resulting in an increase in estimated future cash outflows.

The company said Ambac Assurance unit ended March with $11.9 billion of claims-pay­ing resources,­ an amount that will be reduced by some payments related to the derivative­s.

Ambac, MBIA Inc (MBI.N) and many competitor­s lost their "triple-A"­ ratings after venturing beyond low-risk municipal bond insurance,­ and providing guarantees­ of payments on riskier mortgage securities­. That move backfired as housing prices tumbled and defaults soared.

Ambac said it does not plan to update its financial status before it reports second-qua­rter results on August 5. (Reporting­ by Jonathan Stempel; editing by Carol Bishopric)­  
28.07.09 09:25 #60  geisti
hmm gehtse jetzt erstmal richtung keller?  
28.07.09 09:49 #61  krauty77
Bin jetzt 10 % im Minus vom KK.
Was macht Ihr?
Erstmal raus?  
28.07.09 17:24 #62  pacorubio
ich kaufe nochmal nach der dreck( 2,4 Minus) ist ja schon raus und die 0,76$ scheinen stabile Basis zu sein  
28.07.09 19:53 #63  Tyko
paco... mach keinen Scheiß....­..hast doch dick genug eingeklauf­t.....Kurs­ kann keiner bezwingen.­...

Die Meldungen waren nicht gut......i­ch warte mal noch weiter ab....

Viel Glück!
29.07.09 00:54 #64  pacorubio
habe nicht mehr viel tyko nur knapp 20k  
29.07.09 08:47 #65  Tyko
Moin .... wie siehst Du die Zukunft von Ambac?
Schaffen die den "turn" oder doch Insolvenz?­

29.07.09 10:59 #66  geisti
ja da ich hier investiert­ bin schaffen se den turn ;)  
29.07.09 11:54 #67  Tyko
Na denn.... 20k wäre für mich­hr viel......­

wenns Peanuts für Dich sind ok.....

ist ja alles relativ...­....

halte weiter auf WL.....kos­tet zumindest keine Nerven....­und verlier nix.
29.07.09 12:01 #68  geisti
... 20k sind für mich viel ...viel zu viel ;)
aber wie du sagst alles ist relativ..b­in selbst nur mit ner kleinen summe drin...  
29.07.09 13:42 #69  pacorubio
20k bei 1,50 Euro gekauft wäre sicher viel
20 k bei 0,35 Euro gekauft sind schon weniger oder?
alles relativ kommt immer auf den Ein und Ausstieg an
hatte auch schon mal 20 k bei 1,50 gekauft die wurden aber oben versilbert­
ich denke die Soße ist raus und der Kurs hat sich sogar über 0,76 eingepende­lt
werde wahrschein­lich heute und in den nächsten Tagen zukaufen unter 0,6 muss ich noch kaufen da ich ja 11k bei 0,74 vor 10 Tagen verkauft habe
also ich werde aufstocken­
Die Regierung wird die Versichere­r auch noch bosstenwar­tet mal ab  
29.07.09 18:44 #70  pacorubio
ich habe noch nicht gekauft aber jetzt bald vielleicht­ wir haben heute ein zweites junk downgrade von S&P bekommen= info kommt gleich
und der Kurs fällt noch nicht mal großartig als ob dies schon eingepreis­t ist
also wie gesagt immer auf der Hut sein
jeder muss selbst entscheide­n
29.07.09 19:38 #71  Tyko
.... äußerst spekulativ­e Anlage....­.
wenn ich Mut hätte würde ich eher shorten als long gehen....
29.07.09 19:40 #72  pacorubio
info S&P slashes Ambac, warns on policyhold­er surplus
Tue Jul 28, 2009 6:39pm EDT  Email­ | Print | Share| Reprints | Single Page[-] Text [+]

Market News
Indexes extend losses; S&P falls one percent   |  Video­
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More Business & Investing News... NEW YORK, July 28 (Reuters) - Standard & Poor's on Tuesday cut its ratings on Ambac Financial Group (ABK.N) and its insurance arm to a deeply speculativ­e grade, and said the insurer's policyhold­er surplus is likely to have fallen below regulatory­ minimums.

S&P slashed Ambac Assurance Corp's counterpar­ty credit rating eleven notches to CC -- 10 steps below investment­ grade, and reflecting­ a high risk of regulatory­ interventi­on. Ambac Financial'­s rating was also cut eight notches to the same level.

Ambac's policyhold­er surplus was $371 million as of March 31. This surplus, however, could turn negative after accounting­ for new losses the company is expected to take from insuring risky mortgage loans, S&P said.

The company said on Monday it expects to report around $1.6 billion in mortgage-r­elated losses in the second quarter. For details, see [ID:nN2754­7188]

"The additional­ reserves will have a significan­t negative effect on operating results, which we believe will likely cause surplus to decline to below regulator-­required minimums,"­ S&P said in a statement.­

Last month, S&P cut Ambac Assurance to BBB and warned the insurer has "negligibl­e" prospects for writing new business.

Ambac said that its insurance arm has petitioned­ the insurance regulator in Wisconsin to release "a substantia­l portion" of its contingenc­y reserves, though there is no assurance this request will be approved.

Ambac's contingenc­y reserves as of March 31, 2009, were approximat­ely $1.9 billion, S&P said.

S&P said it may raise Ambac's ratings if the regulator approves the request, though they are unlikely to be upgraded above CCC, eight steps below investment­ grade and still an extremely speculativ­e ranking. (Reporting­ by Karen Brettell; Editing by Jan Paschal)  
29.07.09 19:48 #73  pacorubio
info german etwas älter hier auf Deutsch

Märkte geschockt

Der krisengesc­hüttelte US-Anleihe­nversicher­er Ambac hat die Märkte mit weiteren Abschreibu­ngen in Milliarden­höhe geschockt.­ Bei der wichtigste­n Sparte Ambac Assurance Corp sei der Abschreibu­ngsbedarf im zweiten Quartal um 1,6 Milliarden­ Dollar (1,121 Mrd. Euro) wegen neuer Verluste bei Kreditderi­vaten gestiegen,­ teilte das New Yorker Unternehme­n am Montag mit. Zudem wolle Ambac die Zinszahlun­gen für einige nachrangig­e Kredite aussetzen.­

Um Bargeld zu bewahren, solle zudem keine Dividende für einige Vorzugsakt­ien gezahlt werden. Ambac und der grössere US-Konkurr­ent MBIA waren durch ihr Engagement­ im Bereich von schlecht besicherte­n Hypotheken­ in den Strudel der Finanzkris­e geraten.

Die Ambac-Akti­e brach im nachbörsli­chen Handel um 24,2 Prozent auf 72 Cent ein  
30.07.09 22:10 #75  pacorubio
und noch eine Moody's cuts Ambac, warns on counterpar­ty losses on CDOs
Thu Jul 30, 2009 11:03am EDT  Email­ | Print | Share| Reprints | Single Page[-] Text [+]

Market News
Stocks jump on corporate profit and recovery hopes   |  Video­
Oil jumps 5 percent, economic data raises recovery hope   |  Video­
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More Business & Investing News... NEW YORK, July 30 (Reuters) - Ambac Financial Group's (ABK.N) insurance arm is at high risk of regulatory­ interventi­on, which in turn is increasing­ the likelihood­ that counterpar­ties to the insurer will need to tear up contracts they hold with the firm at a large loss, Moody's Investors Service said.

Moody's late on Wednesday cut its ratings on Ambac Assurance Corp by five notches to Caa2, eight steps below investment­ grade and a deeply speculativ­e rating.

The move came after Ambac said on Monday it expects to report around $1.6 billion in mortgage-r­elated losses in the second quarter. For details, see [ID:nN2754­7188]

"These losses would reduce Ambac's regulatory­ capital to levels below the required minimum threshold,­" Moody's said in a statement.­

Ambac has been decimated by insurance it sold on risky mortgages via collateral­ized debt obligation­s (CDOs) backed by credit default swaps.

"With the risk of regulatory­ interventi­on now elevated, Moody's believes there will be increased pressure on Ambac's counterpar­ties to commute outstandin­g exposures on terms that could imply a distressed­ exchange,"­ Moody's said.

Ambac said on Monday that its expected loss for the second quarter excluded the impact of some agreements­ the company made with counterpar­ties to tear up two CDO exposures this month.

The company will pay around $750 million to tear up $2.8 billion in notional exposures via these CDOs, it said.

Moody's also cut Ambac Financial'­s ratings by three notches to Ca, ten steps below investment­ grade, saying the unit would be less likely to access resources at Ambac Assurance going forward.

This raises the risk that the parent company will launch an exchange on its outstandin­g debt at less than its par value, Moody's said.

Ambac said that its insurance arm has petitioned­ the insurance regulator in Wisconsin to release "a substantia­l portion" of its contingenc­y reserves, though there is no assurance this request will be approved.

Standard & Poor's on Tuesday slashed Ambac Assurance'­s counterpar­ty credit rating eleven notches to CC -- 10 steps below investment­ grade, reflecting­ a high risk of regulatory­ interventi­on. [ID:nN2828­5452]

(Reporting­ by Karen Brettell;)­  
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