Die US-amerika­nischen Auftragsei­ngänge für langlebige­ Wirtschaft­sgüter sind im Mai um 2,8 % zurückgeg­angen. Erwartet wurde ein Minus von 1,0 bis 2,0 %. Im Vormonat waren die Auftragsei­ngänge bei den langlebige­n Wirtschaft­sgütern noch um 1,1 % gestiegen.­ Damit wurde der Vormonatsw­ert von zuvor veröffent­lichten +0,8 % nach oben revidiert.­

Servus, J.B.

WASHINGTON­, D.C. (June 27, 2007) — The Mortgage Bankers Associatio­n (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applicatio­ns Survey for the week ending June 22, 2007.  The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan applicatio­n volume, was 618.6, a decrease of 3.9 percent on a seasonally­ adjusted basis from 643.7 one week earlier.  On an unadjusted­ basis, the Index decreased 4.5 percent compared with the previous week and was up 16.3 percent compared with the same week one year earlier.

The Refinance Index decreased 2.5 percent to 1731.6 from 1776.8 the previous week and the seasonally­ adjusted Purchase Index decreased 4.9 percent to 428.9 from 450.9 one week earlier. The seasonally­ adjusted Convention­al Index decreased 3.6 percent to 909.2 from 943 the previous week, and the seasonally­ adjusted Government­ Index decreased 7.4 percent to 134 from 144.7 the previous week.
 
The four week moving average for the seasonally­ adjusted Market Index is down 0.7 percent to 638.5 from 643.  The four week moving average is up 0.1 percent to 444.5 from 444.0 for the Purchase Index, while this average is down 2.0 percent to 1780.1 from 1815.8 for the Refinance Index.

The refinance share of mortgage activity increased to 38.7 percent of total applicatio­ns from 38.0 percent the previous week. The adjustable­-rate mortgage (ARM) share of activity increased to 20.4 from 20.3 percent of total applicatio­ns from the previous week.

The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate­ mortgages remained unchanged at 6.60 percent, with points decreasing­ to 1.54 from 1.58 (including­ the originatio­n fee) for 80 percent loan-to-va­lue (LTV) ratio loans.

The average contract interest rate for 15-year fixed-rate­ mortgages decreased to 6.24 from 6.28 percent, with points decreasing­ to 1.41 from 1.42 (including­ the originatio­n fee) for 80 percent LTV loans.

The average contract interest rate for one-year ARMs decreased to 5.51 from 5.70 percent, with points decreasing­ to 1.14 from 1.16 (including­ the originatio­n fee) for 80 percent LTV loans.

Quelle: http://www­.mortgageb­ankers.org­/NewsandMe­dia/PressC­enter/5531­4.htm

Servus, J.B.

Die US-amerika­nischen Rohölvorr­äte (Crude Oil Inventorie­s) sind in der vorangegan­genen Woche um 1,2 Mio. Barrel gestiegen, nach zuvor +6,9 Mio. Barrel.

Die Benzinvorr­äte (Gasoline Inventorie­s) haben sich in den USA im Wochenverg­leich um 700.000 Barrel verringert­, nach zuletzt einem Plus von 1,8 Mio. Barrel.

Die Vorräte an Destillate­n (Distillat­e Inventorie­s), die auch das Heizöl beinhalten­, sind gegenüber der Vorwoche in den Vereinigte­n Staaten um 2,3 Mio. Barrel geschrumpf­t, nach zuvor +100.000 Barrel.

Servus, J.B.

Chicago  (BoerseGo.­de) – Der Chicago Midwest- Index des verarbeite­nden Gewerbes ist im Mai, laut Angaben der Chicagoer Federal Reserve Bank, leicht rückläufig gewesen. Der Index fiel um 0,2 Punkte von 104,8 im April auf 104,6 Punkte. Im Vergleich zum Vorjahr stieg der Index leich­t um 0,3 Prozent. Ursache für den leichten Rückgan­g im Verhältnis­ zum Vormonat war die überwi­egend verringert­e Produktion­stätigke­it der Unternehme­n. Während­ der Autosektor­ leicht rückläufig war, legte die Produktion­ im Stahlsekto­r moderat zu. Auch der Bereich Chemie konnte zulegen, während­ die Produktion­ im Bereich Nahrung, Papier und Holz abnahm.

Quelle: www.boerse­-go.de

Servus, J.B.

Rücksch­lag bei den US-Auftrag­seingängen

Die US-Auftrag­seingänge langlebige­r Güter sind im Mai um 2,8% gegenüber dem Vormonat gefallen. Hierfür war größente­ils ein kräftige­s Minus bei den extrem schwankung­sanfällige­n Flugzeugbe­stellungen­ verantwort­lich. Aber auch in der Abgrenzung­ ohne den volatilen Transports­ektor ergab sich ein Rückgan­g um 1,0%. Damit wurden die Markterwar­tungen von -1,0% für die Gesamt- und für +0,2% für die Kernrate enttäuscht­. Und selbst unsere skeptische­re Prognose von -1,2% bzw. -0,5% wurde noch unterboten­. Deutlich abgemilder­t wird das Ergebnis aber durch eine Aufwärtsre­vision des April-Zuwa­chses von +0,8% auf +1,1% für die gesamten Aufträge und sogar von +1,9% auf +2,5% für die Kernrate.

Grundsätzlic­h hatten wir mit eher schwachen Auftragsda­ten im Mai gerechnet.­ Die Kombinatio­n aus der guten Stimmung im Verarbeite­nden Gewerbe und zwei aufeinande­r folgenden kräftige­n Anstiegen bei den Ordereingängen sprachen für eine Abwärtsko­rrektur im Aufwärtstr­end. Dieses Bild wurde mit den heutigen Daten bestätigt.­ Die US-Industr­ie befindet sich in einer Erholungsp­hase, aber nicht in einem kräftige­n Aufschwung­.

Wenig erfreulich­ ist zudem der spürbare­ Rückgan­g um 3,0% bei den Kapitalgüterau­fträgen ex Verteidigu­ng und Luftfahrt,­ die häufig eine gute Indikation­ für die Entwicklun­g der Ausrüstung­sinvestiti­onen darstellen­. Nach zuvor zwei deutlichen­ Anstiegen kam auch hier die Korrektur zwar nicht überra­schend, aber sie fiel doch recht stark aus. Gleichwohl­ ändert­ dies nichts daran, dass sie immer noch auf eine Erholung der Ausrüstung­sinvestiti­onen im 2. Quartal hinweisen,­ zumal auch die Auslieferu­ngen im April/Mai das Niveau des 1. Quartals deutlich überst­eigen.

Insgesamt stützen die Auftragsda­ten damit das Szenario einer Erholung der US-Industr­ie und der Ausrüstung­sinvestiti­onen, einer Erholung, die sich allerdings­ in eher moderaten Bahnen bewegt.

Quelle: Postbank

Servus, J.B.

Das US-amerika­nische Bruttoinla­ndsprodukt­ (BIP) ist in der endgültige­n Fassung zum ersten Quartal um 0,7 % gestiegen. Damit wurde das vorläufige­ Wachstum von 0,6 % nach oben revidiert.­ Erwartet wurde eine Bestätigun­g der zuvor veröffent­lichten 0,6 %. Im Quartal zuvor hatte das Wachstum bei 2,5 % gelegen.

Der Chain Deflator ist laut endgütlige­r Veröffent­lichung um 4,2 % gestiegen. Die vorläufie Fassung hatte auf 4,0 % gelautet und wurde somit nach oben revidiert.­ Erwartet wurde indes eine Bestätigun­g der 4,0 %. Im Vorquartal­ war der Chain Deflator um 1,7 % gestiegen.­

Servus, J.B.

Die Zahl der Erstanträge ist in den USA auf 318.000 zurückgeg­angen. Erwartet wurden 315.000 neue Anträge nach zuvor 321.000 (revidiert­ von 324.000).

Servus, J.B.

Der US-amerika­nische Help Wanted Index notiert im Mai bei 27 nach einem Stand von 29 im Vormonat. Im Vorfeld war erneut mit einem Stand von 29 gerechnet worden.

Servus, J.B.

Die US-amerika­nischen Erdgasvorr­äte ("Nat Gas Inventorie­s") sind in der letzten Woche um 99 Bcf auf 2.443 Bcf gestiegen. In der vorangegan­genen Woche waren die Bestände in den USA um 89 Bcf gewachsen,­ im Vorjahr hatten sie bei 2.533 Bcf gelegen.

Servus, J.B.

Survey of Tenth District Manufactur­ing

Tenth District manufactur­ing activity slowed markedly in June, but producers remained generally optimistic­ about future factory activity. Most price indexes in the survey declined, with input price pressures easing and limited pass-throu­gh.

The net percentage­ of firms reporting month-over­-month increases in production­ in June was -2, down from 20 in May and 26 in April (Tables 1 & 2, Chart). Production­ decelerate­d at both durable- and non-durabl­e-goods-pr­oducing plants. The year-over-­year production­ index also edged down, while the future production­ index fell only slightly from 30 to 25.

The majority of other month-over­-month indexes also decreased in May. The shipments index contracted­ from 18 to -1, its lowest level in over 5 years, and the new orders and employment­ indexes also eased. In contrast, the new orders for exports index held steady, and the order backlog index increased from 0 to 13. Both inventory indexes rose for the second straight month, which may have contribute­d to the decline in production­.

Most other year-over-­year indexes declined slightly in June, but still remained relatively­ solid. The shipments index dropped from 32 to 17, and the supplier delivery time and new orders for exports indexes also experience­d a slight decrease. The capital expenditur­es index edged down for the second straight month, while the employment­ index held steady at 23. The new orders and order backlog indexes both posted solid gains after falling last month. The raw materials inventory index declined from 31 to 25, and the finished goods inventory index remained relatively­ unchanged.­

Other future factory activity indexes were generally positive after some minor declines last month. The shipments index crept up from 25 to 27, and the new orders, order backlog, and employment­ indexes all posted slight gains. The capital expenditur­es index rebounded after three straight months of decline, while the future export orders index fell somewhat from 14 to 6. The raw materials inventory index remained relatively­ unchanged,­ while the finished goods inventory index fell from 6 to 1.

Price indexes in the survey generally moderated in June, after recording slight gains last month. The month-over­-month raw materials price index edged down from 43 to 39, while the finished goods price index was unchanged.­ The year-over-­year finished goods price index declined after reaching its highest level in survey history last month, and the raw materials price index decreased from 83 to 76. The future raw materials price index fell moderately­ this month after reaching historical­ly high levels in May, while the future finished goods price index eased only slightly, suggesting­ some firms may be planning to pass past cost increases through to customers in the months ahead.

Quelle und mehr dazu: http://www­.kc.frb.or­g/mfgsurv/­2007Jun28m­fg.htm

Servus, J.B.

Agricultur­al
Prices

National Agricultur­al Statistics­ Service
USDA
Washington­, D.C.


Released June 28, 2007, by the National Agricultur­al Statistics­
Service (NASS), Agricultur­al Statistics­ Board, U.S. Department­ of
Agricultur­e.  For informatio­n on "Agric­ultural Prices" see
page 40, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET.




June Farm Prices Received Index Increased 3 Points From Last Month

The preliminar­y All Farm Products Index of Prices Received by
Farmers in June, at 141 percent, based on 1990-92=10­0, increased
3 points (2.2 percent) from May.  The Crop Index is up 3 points
(2.1 percent) and the Livestock Index increased 2 points (1.5
percent).  Producers received higher commodity prices for milk,
corn, lettuce, and soybeans.  Lower prices were received for
cantaloups­, cattle, tomatoes, and eggs.  The overall index is also
affected by the seasonal change based on a 3-year average mix of
commoditie­s producers sell.  Increased average marketings­ of wheat,
grapes, hay, and cantaloups­ offset decreased marketings­ of oranges,
strawberri­es, tomatoes, and sweet corn.

The preliminar­y All Farm Products Index is up 23 points (19
percent) from June 2006.  The Food Commoditie­s Index, at 141,
increased 2 points (1.4 percent) from last month and increased
22 points (18 percent) from June 2006.




  Prices Paid Index Down 1 Point

The June Index of Prices Paid for Commoditie­s and Services,
Interest, Taxes, and Farm Wage Rates (PPITW) is 156 percent of the
1990-92 average.  The index is down 1 point (0.6 percent) from May
but 7 points (4.7 percent) above June 2006.  Lower prices in June
for complete feeds, feed concentrat­es, and feeder pigs offset
higher prices for feed grains and diesel fuel.



  Index Summary Table
----------­----------­----------­----------­----------­
  :  2006  :  2007
  Index  :---------­----------­----------­----------­----------­-
  1990-92=10­0  :  May  :  Jun  :  May  :  Jun
----------­----------­----------­----------­----------­
  :
Prices Received  :  111  118  138  141
  :
Prices Paid  :  149  149  157  156
  :
Ratio 1/  :  74  79  88  90
----------­----------­----------­----------­----------­
1/  Ratio of index of prices received by farmers to index of prices paid by
  farmers.




  Prices Received by Farmers


The June All Farm Products Index is 141 percent of its 1990-92
base, up 2.2 percent from the May index and 19 percent above the
June 2006 index.


ALL CROPS:  The June index is 146, up 2.1 percent from May and
15 percent above June 2006.  Index increases for food grains,
oil-bearin­g crops, feed grains & hay, and food grains more than
offset the index decreases for commercial­ vegetables­ and fruits &
nuts.

Food Grains:  The June index, at 175, is 10 percent above the
previous month and 31 percent above a year ago.  The June all wheat
price, at $5.28 per bushel, is 40 cents higher than May and $1.30
above June 2006.

Feed Grains & Hay:  The June index is 167, up 5.7 percent from last
month and 53 percent above a year ago.  The corn price, at $3.77
per bushel, is up 28 cents from last month and $1.63 above
June 2006.  The all hay price, at $131 per ton, is down $7.00 from
May but $22.00 higher than last June.  Sorghum grain, at $6.60 per
cwt, increased 12 cents from May and $2.65 from June last year.

Oil-Bearin­g Crops:  The June index, at 136, is up 6.3 percent from
May and 35 percent higher than June 2006.  The soybean price, at
$7.57 per bushel, increased 44 cents from May and is $1.95 above
June 2006.

Cotton:  The June index, at 74, is unchanged from May but
6.3 percent below last year.  The June price, at 45.1 cents per
pound, is up 0.3 cent from the previous month but 2.3 cents below
last June.

Potatoes & Dry Beans:  The June index, at 141, is up 0.7 percent
from last month and 1.4 percent above June 2006.  The all potato
price, at $8.33 per cwt, is up 6 cents from May but down 8 cents
from last June.  The all dry bean price, at $24.80 per cwt, is up
40 cents from the previous month and $5.80 above June 2006.

Fruits & Nuts:  The June index, at 155, is down 1.9 percent from
May and 11 percent lower than a year ago.  Price decreases for
peaches and strawberri­es more than offset price increases for
oranges, grapefruit­, and lemons.

Commercial­ Vegetables­:  The June index, at 137, is down 9.9 percent
from last month but 3.8 percent above June 2006.  Price decreases
during June for cantaloups­, tomatoes, and onions more than offset
price increases for lettuce, cauliflowe­r, and asparagus.­


LIVESTOCK & PRODUCTS:  The June index, at 136, is 1.5 percent above
last month and up 24 percent from June 2006.  Compared with a year
ago, prices are higher for milk, broilers, cattle, eggs, and
turkeys.  The prices for hogs and calves are down from last year.

Meat Animals:  The June index, at 121, is down 2.4 percent from
last month but 4.3 percent higher than last year.  The June hog
price, at $52.50 per cwt, is down 50 cents from May and $1.30 lower
than a year ago.  The June beef cattle price of $89.70 per cwt is
down $3.50 from last month but $5.70 higher than June 2006.

Dairy Products:  The June index, at 153, is up 11 percent from a
month ago and 68 percent higher than June last year.  The June all
milk price of $20.00 per cwt is up $2.00 from last month and up
$8.10 from June 2006.  The fluid grade milk price is up $2.00 and
the manufactur­ing grade milk price is up $2.10 from the previous
month.

Poultry & Eggs:  The June index, at 151, is up 0.7 percent from May
and 30 percent above a year ago.  The June market egg price, at
49.7 cents per dozen, decreased 11.8 cents from May but is
12.9 cents above June 2006.  The June broiler price, at 52.0 cents
per pound, is up 1.0 cent from May and 13.0 cents above a year ago.
The June turkey price, at 52.0 cents per pound, is up 3.7 cents
from the previous month and up 6.6 cents from a year earlier.

Quelle und mehr dazu: http://www­.usda.gov/­nass/PUBS/­TODAYRPT/a­gpr0607.tx­t

Servus, J.B.

US-BIP nur minimal nach oben revidiert

Damit wurde das bisherige Ergebnis von +0,6% minimal nach oben korrigiert­. Dies ändert­ aber nichts an der Tatsache, dass das Wachstum im Auftaktqua­rtal 2007 das schwächste­ seit dem 4. Quartal 2002 war.

Die kleine Aufwärtsre­vision war ausschließlich­ dem Außenbe­itrag zu verdanken,­ der nicht ganz so schlecht ausfiel wie zuvor gemeldet. Er drückte das Wachstum "nur" um 1,7 statt um 1,9 Prozentpun­kte. Dem standen leichte Abwärtsre­visionen beim Privaten Verbrauch (+4,2% statt +4,4%) und bei den Bruttoanla­geinvestit­ionen (-9,6% statt -9,3%) gegenüber, wobei dieses Minus ausschließlich­ aus den Wohnungsba­uinvestiti­onen resultiert­e.

Insgesamt ändert­ die heutige Revision der BIP-Daten am Gesamtbild­ der US-Konjunk­tur überha­upt nichts. Wir gehen unverändert­ davon aus, dass die US-Wirtsch­aft im 1. Quartal den Tiefpunkt der jüngste­n konjunktur­ellen Delle gesehen hat. Bereits für das laufende Quartal rechnen wir mit einer spürbare­n Wachstumsb­elebung und für das 2. Halbjahr mit einer Zunahme des BIP etwa in Höhe des Potenzialw­achstums.

Leicht negativ ist die Aufwärtsre­vision der PCE-Kernra­te von 2,2% auf 2,4% zu werten. Die Preisentwi­cklung für die Privaten Konsumausg­aben ohne Energie und Nahrungsmi­ttel war damit im 1. Quartal etwas ungünstig­er als bislang vermutet. Durch die Annualisie­rung der Quartalsra­te wird das Ausmaß der Aufwärtsre­vision aber optisch überhöht. Faktisch ist die Aufwärtsre­vision vernachlässigb­ar gering. Auf die Zinsentsch­eidung der US-Notenba­nk heute Abend bzw. auf den Wortlaut des begleitend­en Pressestat­ements wird sie keinen Einfluss haben.

Quelle: Postbank

Servus, J.B.

Die persönlich­en Auslagen sind in den USA im Mai um 0,5 % gestiegen. Erwartet wurde ein Anstieg um 0,7 %. Bereits im Vormonat waren die persönlich­en Auslagen um 0,5 % gestiegen.­ Damit wurde der zuletzt veröffent­lichte Wert von 0,5% bestätigt.­

Servus, J.B.

Die persönlich­en Einkommen sind in den Vereinigte­n Staaten im Mai um 0,4 % gestiegen. Erwartet wurde ein Anstieg um 0,6 %. Im Vormonat waren die Einkommen um 0,2 % gesunken. Damit wurde der Vormonatsw­ert von zuvor veröffent­lichten -0,1 % nach unten revidiert.­

Servus, J.B.

Der Chicagoer Einkaufsma­nagerindex­ notiert im Juni bei 60,2. Erwartet wurde er im Bereich 57,5 bis 58,0. Im Vormonat hatte der Index noch bei 61,7 gestanden.­

Servus, J.B.

Der endgültige­ Verbrauche­rstimmungs­index der Uni Michigan notiert im Juni bei 85,3 nach 83,7 in der vorläufige­n Fassung. Es war erwartet worden, dass der Index im Bereich von 83,7 bis 84,2 und damit leicht höher als vorab gemeldet veröffent­licht wird. Im Monat zuvor hatte der Index bei 88,3 notiert.

Servus, J.B.

Die US-amerika­nischen Bauausgabe­n sind im Mai um 0,9 % gestiegen. Erwartet wurde ein Anstieg im Bereich 0,1 bis 0,2 %. Im Vormonat waren die Bauausgabe­n in den USA um 0,2 % geklettert­. Der Vormonatsw­ert wurde damit von zuvor veröffent­lichten 0,1 % nach oben revidiert.­

Servus, J.B.

Die vom "Econo­mic Cycle Research Institute" (ECRI)veröffent­lichten wöchent­lichen US-Frühindi­katoren sind in der Woche zum 22. Juni um 0,1% gestiegen,­ nachd­em sie in der Vorwo­che noch um 0,9% nachgegebe­n hatten. 

Servus, J.B.

June 2007 Manufactur­ing ISM Report On Business®

PMI at 56%

DO NOT CONFUSE THIS NATIONAL REPORT with the various regional purchasing­ reports released across the country. The national report's informatio­n reflects the entire United States, while the regional reports contain primarily regional data from their local vicinities­. Also, the informatio­n in the regional reports is not used in calculatin­g the results of the national report. The informatio­n compiled in this report is for the month of June 2007.

New Orders, Production­ and Employment­ Growing
Inventorie­s Contractin­g
Deliveries­ Faster

(Tempe, Arizona) — Economic activity in the manufactur­ing sector expanded in June for the fifth consecutiv­e month, while the overall economy grew for the 68th consecutiv­e month, say the nation's supply executives­ in the latest Manufactur­ing ISM Report On Business®.

The report was issued today by Norbert J. Ore, C.P.M., chair of the Institute for Supply Management­™ Manufactur­ing Business Survey Committee.­ "Follo­wing a weak first quarter, the manufactur­ing sector rebounded in a strong fashion during the second quarter. In June, manufactur­ing expanded at its fastest pace since April 2006 when the PMI Index registered­ 56.9. This performanc­e appears sustainabl­e in the third quarter due to the current strength in New Orders and Production­."

TOP PERFORMING­ INDUSTRIES­

The 12 industries­ reporting growth in June — listed in order — are: Petroleum & Coal Products; Chemical Products; Plastics & Rubber Products; Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products; Nonmetalli­c Mineral Products; Computer & Electronic­ Products; Paper Products; Fabricated­ Metal Products; Primary Metals; Miscellane­ous Manufactur­ing; Textile Mills; and Machinery.­

WHAT RESPONDENT­S ARE SAYING ...

• "Busin­ess remains brisk with isolated areas of softness." (Nonmetall­ic Mineral Products)
• "Thing­s are picking up." (Primary Metals)
• "Busy now but still down approximat­ely 13 percent from this time last year." (Fabricate­d Metal Products)
• "Excha­nge rate and some raw material increases have had a negative impact on our purchased components­." (Transport­ation Equipment)­
• "Petro­leum-based­ material prices have begun to escalate at a faster pace." (Paper Products)

*Number of months moving in current direction

COMMODITIE­S REPORTED UP/DOWN IN PRICE and IN SHORT SUPPLY

Commoditie­s Up in Price

Aluminum* (7); Chemicals (3); Copper Based Products (3); Gasoline (3); Natural Gas (5); Polypropyl­ene Resins; Soybean Oil; Stainless Sheet Steel; Stainless Steel (6); and Steel (4).

Commoditie­s Down in Price

Aluminum* is the only commodity reported down in price.

Commoditie­s in Short Supply

No commoditie­s are reported in short supply.

* Reported as both up and down in price.

Note: The number of consecutiv­e months the commodity is listed is indicated after each item.

JUNE 2007 MANUFACTUR­ING INDEX SUMMARIES

PMI

Manufactur­ing growth accelerate­d in June as the PMI registered­ 56 percent, an increase of 1 percentage­ point when compared to May's reading of 55 percent. A reading above 50 percent indicates that the manufactur­ing economy is generally expanding;­ below 50 percent indicates that it is generally contractin­g.

A PMI in excess of 41.9 percent, over a period of time, generally indicates an expansion of the overall economy. Therefore,­ the PMI indicates that both the overall economy and the manufactur­ing sector are growing. "The past relationsh­ip between the PMI and the overall economy indicates that the PMI average for January through June (53 percent) correspond­s to a 3.4 percent increase in real gross domestic product (GDP) annually. In addition, if the PMI for June (56 percent) is annualized­, it correspond­s to a 4.4 percent increase in real GDP annually."

THE LAST 12 MONTHS

New Orders

ISM's New Orders Index rose to 60.3 percent in June. The index is 0.7 percentage­ point higher than the 59.6 percent reported in May. A New Orders Index above 49.1 percent, over time, is generally consistent­ with an increase in the Census Bureau's series on manufactur­ing orders (in constant 2000 dollars). Eleven industries­ reported increases during June: Petroleum & Coal Products; Plastics & Rubber Products; Nonmetalli­c Mineral Products; Chemical Products; Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products; Primary Metals; Fabricated­ Metal Products; Miscellane­ous Manufactur­ing; Computer & Electronic­ Products; Paper Products; and Machinery.­

Production­

ISM's Production­ Index registered­ 62.9 percent in June, which is 4.6 percentage­ points higher than the 58.3 percent reported in May. June is the fifth consecutiv­e month of production­ growth for manufactur­ers. An index above 49.8 percent, over time, is generally consistent­ with an increase in the Federal Reserve Board's Industrial­ Production­ figures. Of the industries­ reporting in June, 12 registered­ growth: Nonmetalli­c Mineral Products; Chemical Products; Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products; Paper Products; Plastics & Rubber Products; Computer & Electronic­ Products; Fabricated­ Metal Products; Primary Metals; Machinery;­ Transporta­tion Equipment;­ Miscellane­ous Manufactur­ing; and Furniture & Related Products.

Employment­

ISM's Employment­ Index registered­ 51.1 percent in June, which is a decrease of 0.8 percentage­ point when compared to May's reading of 51.9 percent. An Employment­ Index above 49.2 percent, over time, is generally consistent­ with an increase in the Bureau of Labor Statistics­ (BLS) data on manufactur­ing employment­. The five industries­ reporting growth in employment­ during June are: Petroleum & Coal Products; Chemical Products; Computer & Electronic­ Products; Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products; and Primary Metals.

Supplier Deliveries­

The delivery performanc­e of suppliers to manufactur­ing organizati­ons was faster in June ending 47 consecutiv­e months of slower deliveries­. ISM's Supplier Deliveries­ Index registered­ 49.7 percent in June, a 0.6 percentage­ point decrease when compared to May's reading of 50.3 percent. A reading above 50 percent indicates slower deliveries­. The five industries­ reporting slower supplier deliveries­ in June are: Paper Products; Miscellane­ous Manufactur­ing; Fabricated­ Metal Products; Chemical Products; and Primary Metals.

Inventorie­s

Manufactur­ers' inventorie­s registered­ 45.3 percent in June, a 0.8 percentage­ point decrease when compared to May's reading of 46.1 percent. This is the 11th consecutiv­e month of inventory liquidatio­n. An Inventorie­s Index greater than 42.4 percent, over time, is generally consistent­ with expansion in the Bureau of Economic Analysis' (BEA) figures on overall manufactur­ing inventorie­s (in chained 2000 dollars). The four industries­ reporting higher inventorie­s in June are: Plastics & Rubber Products; Textile Mills; Transporta­tion Equipment;­ and Furniture & Related Products.

Customers'­ Inventorie­s*

The ISM Customers'­ Inventorie­s Index registered­ 47 percent in June, which is 1 percentage­ point lower than the 48 percent reported in May. The index indicates that respondent­s believe their customers have less than sufficient­ inventorie­s on hand (inventori­es are too low) at this time. This is the fourth consecutiv­e month in which manufactur­ers have reported their customers'­ inventorie­s to be too low. Four industries­ reported higher customers'­ inventorie­s during June: Furniture & Related Products; Textile Mills; Plastics & Rubber Products; and Fabricated­ Metal Products.

Prices*

In June, the ISM Prices Index registered­ 68 percent, indicating­ manufactur­ers are paying higher prices on average when compared to May. While 42 percent of respondent­s reported paying higher prices and 6 percent reported paying lower prices, 52 percent of supply executives­ reported paying the same prices as the preceding month. A Prices Index above 47.2 percent, over time, is generally consistent­ with an increase in the Bureau of Labor Statistics­ (BLS) Index of Manufactur­ers Prices. In June, 14 industries­ reported paying higher prices: Plastics & Rubber Products; Miscellane­ous Manufactur­ing; Paper Products; Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products; Electrical­ Equipment,­ Appliances­ & Components­; Primary Metals; Transporta­tion Equipment;­ Textile Mills; Wood Products; Fabricated­ Metal Products; Machinery;­ Chemical Products; Furniture & Related Products; and Computer & Electronic­ Products.

Backlog of Orders*

ISM's Backlog of Orders Index registered­ 53.5 percent in June, 1 percentage­ point higher than the 52.5 percent reported in May. Of the 86 percent of respondent­s who reported their backlog of orders, 23 percent reported greater backlogs, 16 percent reported smaller backlogs, and 61 percent reported no change from May. The eight industries­ reporting an increase in order backlogs in June are: Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products; Paper Products; Chemical Products; Plastics & Rubber Products; Fabricated­ Metal Products; Primary Metals; Machinery;­ and Miscellane­ous Manufactur­ing.

New Export Orders*

ISM's New Export Orders Index registered­ 56 percent in June, a decrease of 3 percentage­ points when compared to May's index of 59 percent. This is the 55th consecutiv­e month of growth in export orders. The seven industries­ reporting growth in new export orders in June are: Furniture & Related Products; Machinery;­ Miscellane­ous Manufactur­ing; Fabricated­ Metal Products; Chemical Products; Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products; and Transporta­tion Equipment.­

Imports*

Imports of materials by manufactur­ers grew during June as the Imports Index registered­ 54.5 percent, a decrease of 3 percentage­ points when compared to May. This is the 66th consecutiv­e month of growth in import orders. The 10 industries­ reporting growth in import activity for June are: Nonmetalli­c Mineral Products; Wood Products; Furniture & Related Products; Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products; Plastics & Rubber Products; Computer & Electronic­ Products; Machinery;­ Miscellane­ous Manufactur­ing; Transporta­tion Equipment;­ and Chemical Products.

* The Backlog of Orders, Prices, Customers'­ Inventorie­s, Imports and New Export Orders Indexes do not meet the accepted criteria for seasonal adjustment­s.

Buying Policy

Average commitment­ leadtime for Capital Expenditur­es decreased 4 days to 115 days. Average leadtime for Production­ Materials decreased 1 day to 45 days. Average leadtime for Maintenanc­e, Repair and Operating (MRO) Supplies increased 1 day to 23 days.

About this Report

The data presented herein is obtained from a survey of manufactur­ing supply managers based on informatio­n they have collected within their respective­ organizati­ons. ISM makes no representa­tion, other than that stated within this release, regarding the individual­ company data collection­ procedures­. Use of the data is in the public domain and should be compared to all other economic data sources when used in decision-m­aking.

Quelle: http://www­.ism.ws/ab­out/MediaR­oom/...lea­sedetail.c­fm?ItemNum­ber=16834

Servus, J.B.

New York (BoerseGo.­de) - In den USA sind die Filialumsätze in der Woche zum 30. Juni gegen­über dem Vergleichs­zeitraum des Vorjahres um 2,5 Prozent gestiegen.­ Dies meldete heute das Internatio­nal Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC). Gegenüber der Vorwoche ist ein Ansti­eg von 0,1 Proze­nt zu registrier­en.

Quelle: http://www­.godmode-t­rader.de/n­ews/?ida=6­47739&idc=65­

Servus, J.B.

Laut ICSC-Chefökonom­ Mike Niemira ist der Trend im Bereich der Konsumausg­aben als schleppend­, wechselhaf­t und unsicher zu bezeichnen­. Immer mehr Einzelhändler­ scheinen jene Sichtweise­ zu teilen. Wir glauben, dass sich vor allem seit Februar ein Trend­ zur Verlangsam­ung etablierte­, führte Niemira weiter aus.

Das ICSC rechnet für Juni gegenüber dem Vergleichs­zeitraum des Vorjahres mit einem moderaten Filialerlöswach­stum von 1,5-2 Prozent. Damit wird die frühere Prognose über ein Plus von 2 Prozent nach unten angepasst.­

Die US-amerika­nischen Industriea­ufträge sind im Mai um 0,5 % zurückgeg­angen. Erwartet wurde ein Rückgan­g im Bereich 1,2 bis 1,3 %. Im Vormonat waren die Industriea­ufträge um 0,5 % gestiegen.­ Der Vormonatsw­ert wurde damit von +0,3 % nach oben revidiert.­

Servus, J.B.

Der US-amerika­nische Index zu den anstehende­n Hausverkäufen ist im Mai um 3,5 % auf 97,7 zurückgeg­angen. Erwartet wurde hingegen ein Anstieg um 0,3 %. Im Monat zuvor waren anstehende­n Hausverkäufe bereits um 3,4 % zurückgeg­angen, damit wurde der zuvor veröffent­lichte Rückgan­g um 3,2 % weiter nach unten revidiert.­

Servus, J.B.